Global Economic Prospects, Volume 9, June 2014

Global Economic Prospects, Volume 9, June 2014

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The global economy got off to a bumpy start this year, but growth in 2015 and 2016 looks to be broadly on track. Projections for developing countries in 2014 have been down downgraded by 0.5 percentage points to 4.8 percent mainly reflecting weak first quarter growth in the US due to weather and the conflict in Ukraine. Going forward growth is projected to firm to 5.3 and 5.5 percent in 2015 and 2016 supported by easy global financial conditions and rebounding exports as high-income countries continue to recover under the influence of a reduced drag from fiscal consolidation and improving labor markets. Financial conditions will eventually tighten, and when they do there is risk of further volatility. Most developing countries are in good fiscal and financial shape, but where vulnerabilities remain countries need to tighten policy to reduce the potential impact of external shocks. Overall, growth for developing countries will be solid but not strong enough to generate the income and employment gains needed to eliminate poverty by 2013. As a result, countries need to focus on structural reform in order to lift growth in and enduring and sustainable manner.In Pakistan, after the fiscal deficit ballooned to over 8 percent of GDP in FY2011 - 12, fiscal restraint is estimated to have reduced it to ... its quarterly growth is expected to pick up during the course of the 2014 calendar year, the level of annual GDP growth for India, and in turn, ... As these investment projects come on stream during the forecast period (2014-16), overall investment activity should pick up.

Title:Global Economic Prospects, Volume 9, June 2014
Author:World Bank World Bank
Publisher:World Bank Publications - 2014-06-10


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